The Western Pacific remains quite active on this late Friday morning (EDT). Earlier in the week, Hurricaneville mentioned that there were two systems in this region. One of them was Tropical Storm Koppu, which made landfall in Southern China southwest of Hong Kong. The other was a Super Typhoon, Choi-Wan.
Choi-Wan became the strongest storm in any of the basins this season with winds of Category Five Strength at 160 miles per hour a short time later. The strongest storm in the Eastern Pacific was Hurricane Jimena, which had winds sustained just below Category Five intensity at 155 miles per hour. Meanwhile, in the Atlantic, the most powerful storm of the season was Hurricane Bill, which had maximum sustained winds of 135 miles per hour, or Category Four strength on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.
Since peaking as a powerful Super Typhoon, Choi-Wan has since waned. According to the latest report from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, maximum sustained winds have slackened to just 110 knots, or 125 miles per hour. Winds are gusting to 155 knots. The storm is moving to the Northeast at about 12 miles per hour, and is tracking very close to the islands of Iwo To and Chichi Jima.
The outskirts of Tokyo and the rest of Central Japan just lies outside of the outer fringes of the forecast cone. The storm is projected to curve to the Northeast, and then East with time and avoid the main island of Japan. Choi-Wan is forecast to strengthen over the next 12 hours after dealing with an eyewall replacement cycle, which may have contributed to the weakening of the storm. Hurricaneville will continue to monitor the progress of this system.
While conditions remain relatively quiet in the Atlantic Basin this Friday morning, there is activity over in the Eastern Pacific. Looking at the latest map courtesy of the National Hurricane Center, there are two areas of trouble in the EPAC. One is a disturbance located some 150 miles to the South-Southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The other is Tropical Storm Marty.
The disturbance, which is a small area of low pressure, has limited shower and thunderstorm activity associated with it. However, upper level winds and sea surface temperatures in the area appear to support some development as the low heads to the West-Northwest at 10 miles per hour. The NHC gives this disturbance about a 30 to 50 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. Meanwhile, further to the West is Marty.
Currently, Marty is still hanging on to tropical storm status. Located some 360 miles to the West-Southwest of Baja California, the storm still has winds of minimal tropical storm strength at 40 miles per hour. Wind gusts with this system are as high as 50 miles per hour (45 knots). Minimum central pressure associated with Marty has risen to 1004 millibars, or 29.65 inches of Hg. The storm is moving slowly to the Northwest at 7 miles per hour.
Tropical storm force winds extend some 70 miles from the center of circulation, which is forecast to gradually weaken into a remnant low in the next 48 hours.
Good morning. Sorry that I’ve been away, but I have been working on putting together some time lapse videos and storm footage of recent weather in my area. I’ve just posted videos on YouTube from last week, and about a month ago. I hope you’ll take a look at them, and enjoy.
Things are relatively calm in the tropics right now although we are still looking at a couple of trouble spots in the Atlantic this morning. One of those trouble spots continues to be the remnants of Hurricane Fred, which became a remnant low last weekend. Located approximately 415 miles to the South of Bermuda, and moving West between 10 to 15 miles per hour, this remnant low has minimal shower activity associated with it while upper level conditions in the vicinity are not favorable for development at this time. The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida gives this disturbance less than a 30 percent chance of developing into a depression or storm in the next 48 hours.
Meanwhile, further off to the south and east in the Central Atlantic, there is a much more formidable disturbance moving to the West-Northwest at about 10 miles per hour. Located some 950 miles West of the Southernmost Cape Verde islands, the broad area of low pressure is showing signs of organization this morning. Right now, upper level winds are only somewhat conducive for development, but the NHC gives this disturbance a medium chance (30 to 50 percent) of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next couple of days.
Hurricaneville will continue to track these two disturbances, and post updates on them as they warrant.
You have already seen what the coastal low last week did along the Jersey Shore. Now, you can see what the same storm did further inland over Northwestern Middlesex County. It brought its share of rain and wind to the area. Enjoy the video.
Here is some video that I shot of a thunderstorm that moved through Northwestern Middlesex County in New Jersey about a month or so ago. It brought mostly wind and rain. The real severe weather just missed us. Enjoy the video.
While conditions in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific are relatively placid, there is plenty of action in the Western Pacific. We have a Category One strength typhoon that made landfall in Southern China within the past 24 hours while a Super Typhoon is still going strong. Tropical Storm Koppu made landfall in Southern China near Hong Kong, and produced wind gusts of up to 71 miles per hour there according to the Weather Channel. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center has issued its final advisory on the storm, which is now inland over southern portions of China.
Meanwhile, there is our Super Typhoon Choi-Wan, which is located approximately 165 miles north of Saipan. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 150 miles per hour. Further strengthening is expected with this system as it moves to the Northwest and then North over the next 48 to 72 hours. The forecast track has the storm passing well to the south of mainland Japan, but threatening the island of Iwo To over time. More details on these two storms will be out later today.
Good morning. Sorry that I have been away from posting anything to the web site, but I’ve been quite tired after work. Anyway, Fred dissipated into a remnant low over the weekend, but its remnants are still hanging on in the Central Atlantic. Located approximately 1100 miles East of the Northern Leeward Islands in the Lesser Antilles, these remnants have shown some improvement this morning with the increased development of showers and thunderstorms.
In addition, upper level conditions could become somewhat more favorable for development over the next couple of days. Still, the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida still gives less than a 30 percent chance for these remnants to regenerate into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours. Meanwhile, there is a tropical wave a few hundred miles to the West of the Cape Verde Islands. It is producing a disorganized area of showers and storms. Development with this wave is expected to be slow if at all. Elsewhere in the tropics, things are tranquil for the time being.
Good evening everyone. Well, my vacation is over after tonight. I’ll be going to work starting tomorrow morning. Anyway, I’ve put together the final installment of video from my trip to the Jersey Shore. It is more video from the wave action and winds I experienced at Sea Bright. All in all I have posted about 27 minutes worth of footage. Hope you all have enjoyed it.
Good afternoon. I just finished putting together video of the conditions along the coast at Sandy Hook on Thursday afternoon. Before I headed over to Sea Bright to video conditions there, I visited Sandy Hook for about 20 minutes, and knew right away that the weather was beginning to pick up. Enjoy the video.
Good morning everyone. I’ve put together another segment of video from the trip I took to Sandy Hook and Sea Bright on Thursday. This is a longer piece of video depicting the waves crashing ashore at Sea Bright from the combination of the coastal low and high pressure producing a pressure gradient and a strong easterly flow. Enjoy.