Category: Model Forecasts
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Invest 99L Takes a Hit on Thursday
Disturbance Takes a Turn for the Worse; Still Expected to Bring Heavy Rains and Gusty Winds to Hispaniola, Cuba, and South Florida There was not only some good news for residents along the Gulf Coast and South Florida on Thursday, but also a lesson to all of us about trusting the computer models when it…
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Gaston Weakens In Central Atlantic
Storm Expected to Regain Strength and Actually Be A Strong Category Two System in Five Days It wasn’t a good day if you were a tropical feature in the Atlantic on Thursday. First, Invest 99L took a hit as thunderstorm activity around it fell apart. Then, Gaston, as expected, weakened thanks to the effects of…
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Gaston Close to Becoming Hurricane in Central Atlantic
Storm Could Become Hurricane Later Today While Invest 99L is becoming more of a threat, and getting more focus from forecasters, Tropical Storm Gaston continues to churn along in the Atlantic. After becoming a tropical storm on Tuesday, Gaston continued to strengthen, and now is on the cusp of becoming the third hurricane of the…
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Threat from Invest 99L Growing
Disturbance in Northern Leeward Has 80 Percent Chance of Forming in 5 Days While Fiona dissipated and Gaston grew into a Tropical Storm on Tuesday, concern grew on the disturbance nearing the Lesser Antilles. Invest 99L is beginning to look more and more like a threat, and models are indicating that the storm could affect…
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Invest 90L Looking Like A Storm for the Fish
Disturbance in Eastern Atlantic Likely to Form Within Next 48 Hours In addition to Invest 90L in the Central Atlantic, there is another disturbance being watched in the Atlantic Basin on this Monday morning. A second disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic, Invest 90L is looking much healthier than Fiona and Invest 99L, but may not…
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Invest 99L Still Battling Dry Air
Disturbance Still Has Medium Chance of Development in 5 Days With the gradual demise of Fiona beginning to take place over the past 12 to 18 hours, focus has begun to shift to the east and the two disturbances in the Central and Eastern Atlantic. The more immediate concern of the two disturbances is Invest…
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Fiona Downgraded to Depression
Storm Finally Giving Way to Hostile Environmental Conditions Although its demise has been delayed, Fiona has been downgraded to a depression. The small storm, which has shown a great deal of resiliency during its lifetime, finally gave way to the persistent westerly shear. Fiona was downgraded to a tropical depression on Sunday, and as of…
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Tropical Threats Looming on the Horizon in Atlantic
Fiona May Be Fading, but Two Other Disturbances Still Remain As mentioned yesterday, the Tropical Atlantic is heating up as it should for this time of year. August is usually a ramp up month in terms of tropical activity as more storms and hurricanes develop during the course of the month as ocean temperatures reach…
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Fishy Fiona Gets Fickle After Showing Some Fight
Storm Reaches New Peak On Saturday Despite Predicted Demise On Saturday, I had discussed the likely demise of Fiona, which had been expected at the time of that posting to become a depression late in the day, and dissipate by Monday. One thing you always have to keep in mind with tropical storms and hurricanes…
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Lots of Wild Weather To Talk About for Sunday
Much of Garden State Under Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms; TD #3 Forms in Southern Gulf On Saturday, I had posted several articles on things going on in and around the country weather wise including a potential severe weather event for the Mid-Atlantic United States and a developing tropical disturbance in the Northwestern Caribbean. Well,…