Category: Commentary
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Tropical Disturbance Crossing Yucatan Bears Watching
Has 50 Percent Chance of Development as it Moves into Gulf While the month of August and the entire 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season in general have been very quiet, things continue to try to stir around the Atlantic Basin on this Sunday morning. The most significant feature is in the Northwest Caribbean and crossing over…
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2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season To Date
While El Nino Hasn’t Formed Yet, Atlantic Still Quiet Thanks to Dry Air and Shear Are we at the end of the cycle of active Atlantic Hurricane Seasons? Perhaps not, but the past several seasons seem to indicate that something is happening in the Atlantic. Recently in the news, there was a report about how…
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Cristobal Becomes Third Hurricane of 2014 Atlantic Season
Expected to Pass to Northwest of Bermuda on Wednesday; Heavy Surf and Rip Currents Main Threat to U.S. Coast On Monday, Cristobal continued to gradually strengthen as the light to moderate shear that was affecting it on Sunday lessened, and the storm fed off the warmer waters around the Bahamas. By a little after 8:00…
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All Eyes Along East Coast Watching Cristobal
Third Named Storm of the Atlantic Season Forms on Saturday; Bringing Rain To Turks and Caicos In what has been a dull season by recent standards in the Atlantic, the fourth tropical cyclone and third named storm of the season, Tropical Storm Cristobal, is departing from the waters near the Southeastern Bahamas and Turks and…
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Time to Give the Euro Model Its Due
Is The U.S. Falling Behind in Weather Forecasting? Back in late August 2005, the National Hurricane Center was one of, if not the only one, the lone bright spots in terms of the federal government’s handling of Hurricane Katrina. The NHC forecast performed very well, and helped save many more lives along the Gulf Coast.…
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Tropical Storm Karen: The Post-Mortem
Karen Fizzles Before Even Coming Ashore in Gulf Perhaps history will show that Tropical Storm Karen was the epitome of the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season. As a storm typical of the season, Karen had a a lot of potential, but ultimately was done in by hostile environmental factors. Dry air and wind shear did this…
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Severe Weather Outlook–October 7, 2013
Storm System Responsible for Historic Blizzard and Tornadoes in Plains and Midwest Heads into Eastern U.S. As indicated in the last Severe Weather Outlook several days ago, some heavy weather is coming this way for Monday afternoon. A powerful cold front associated with a storm system that caused remarkable weather in the Great Plains and…
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Karen Weakens Slightly
Storm Loses Some Punch As It Becomes Ragged and Disheveled in Gulf Tropical Storm Karen has been fighting a valiant fight since it formed on Thursday morning, but the odds may be just too much for the storm to overcome. While a Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Gulf Coast from Grand Isle, Louisiana…
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Karen Forms in Southern Gulf
Watches Issued for Portions of Gulf Coast; Storm Already Has 60 MPH Winds Almost 18 years to the day, a storm has formed in the Gulf of Mexico, and could deliver a blow to the Northeastern Gulf Coast. Within the past few minutes, the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida has classified the disturbance in…
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Disturbance in Northwestern Caribbean Bears Watching
Could Impact the Central Gulf This Weekend; Jerry Meanders In Central Atlantic The Tropical Atlantic has been relatively quiet for much of this season. Yes, there has been 10 named storms already, which is still ahead of the average pace, but there has been only two hurricanes, and most importantly, no major hurricanes, and no…