Still Waiting For Fiona To Form

For the past several days, Hurricaneville has been watching an area of disturbed weather that had come off the West African coast at the end of last week with a lot of promise. Gradually, it began to get the attention of the National Hurricane Center, which at first, gave it a 10 to 20 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm, but now are giving it an 80 percent chance of tropical formation. However, now TD #8, or Tropical Storm Fiona has been able to emerge yet.

According to the latest Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC as of 8:00 PM EDT on Sunday night, shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the area of low pressure located halfway between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles in the Central Atlantic has been minimal. Overall organization of this disturbance has not changed much over the past 24 hours, but environmental conditions, i.e. sea surface temperatures and upper level winds, remain favorable for development over the next couple of days as it heads to the West at 20 miles per hour.

The Atlantic has so far seen seven depressions, five named storms, three hurricanes, and one major hurricane this season. Forecasts had initially called for between 14 and 23 named storms, but they have since been scaled back slightly. However, the Cape Verde Season which usually runs from the beginning of August until the end of September, has kicked into high gear over the past week to ten days, and more waves are moving across Africa as we speak.