Tropical Disturbance In Central Atlantic Still Not A Cyclone…Yet

Good morning everyone. Hurricaneville continues to watch the broad area of low pressure some 600 miles to the East of the Lesser Antilles this morning. Within the past few hours, thunderstorm activity has picked up.

The Weather Channel indicated that it has good structure and outflow, and overall it looked a lot healthier than Danny did. Nevertheless, the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida has still not made this low a depression or storm yet. In addition, the models have not really picked up on this system in terms of intensity yet although they indicate that it should go north of the islands.

There is, however, still a high chance (greater than 50 percent) that this low will become a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours. The low continues to head toward the West-Northwest at 15 miles per hour. Meanwhile, another disturbance is moving off the West African coast near Senegal, Guinea-Bisseau, Sierra Leone, and Liberia this morning. We will have to wait and see if this develops.