Andrea Bringing Heavy Rainfall To Jersey

First Storm Of Atlantic Season Dumping Significant Rain On Garden State

Over the past 24 hours or so, Tropical Storm Andrea has made landfall just north of Cedar Key in the Big Bend region of the Florida Gulf Coast.  The storm brought 4 to 6 inches of rain, tornadoes, and maximum sustained winds of 65 miles per hour to Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina.  Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings extended up to the Cape Charles region of Virginia.

The storm has weakened throughout all of this.  As of the 2:00 PM EDT Advisory from the National Hurricane Center, maximum sustained winds have dropped to 45 miles per hour.  Minimum central pressure has risen a bit to 29.41 inches of Hg, or 996 millibars.  Pressure has risen by 3 millibars, or 0.09 inches of Hg in the last 21 hours.  Tropical storm force winds extend some 230 miles from the center of circulation.

Currently located some 5 miles to the Southwest of Fayetteville, North Carolina, or 70 miles to the Northwest of Wilmington, North Carolina, Tropical Storm Andrea has almost doubled in forward speed at 28 miles per hour.  This time yesterday, it was moving more modestly at 15 miles per hour.  The increase in forward speed is good news for those still in the path of the storm.  The storm system also is losing its tropical characteristics.

Since late Thursday afternoon, the combination of a cold front and the moisture from Tropical Storm Andrea has brought 1.3 inches of rain to Northwestern Middlesex County.  Rainfall rates at the GWC weather station are approaching an inch per hour.  Temperature and dew point are both  in the low 60s thanks to the cloud cover and moisture from Andrea.  Barometric pressure has fallen steadily in the past 24 hours.   Since Thursday afternoon, there has been a pressure drop of 0.30 inches, or 10 millibars to 29.78 inches of Hg.

Just before sitting down to type of this report and analysis, I ventured out into  town after hearing from my mother that waters were rising at Spring Lake Park, and a creek over by a nearby railroad track.  The lake and the nearby creeks have swollen.  In the park, the water has risen to within just a few feet of some of the park benches on the one side of the park adjacent to  the Fire Department.  The rising waters have produced a debris line around the lake.  The brunt of the storm is still to the south of New Jersey, so more rain is on the way.

Forecasts have been calling for between 2 to 4 inches of rain.  Looking at the forecast track, it appears that the center of Andrea will pass over the Southeastern portion of the Garden State so coastal counties such as Ocean, Atlantic, and Cape May should see the brunt of the wind and rain from Andrea.