Moving on to the tropics after discussing the local weather for a bit, we finally have some tranquility in the Atlantic as both Matthew and Lisa dissipated to remnant lows. Indications were late last week that Matthew was going to have some sort of impact on the United States. However, the scenario never came to fruition because of Matthew’s continued westward movement into Central America.

The models, however, are still looking for some kind of tropical entity impacting the United States later this week. There are still some clouds, showers, and thunderstorms over the Western Caribbean. While this storminess is still disorganized, there is still a chance that this could materialize into a tropical cyclone. Remember, the Western Caribbean is a prime area for development throughout the Atlantic hurricane season, especially in the beginning and end of the season. Sea surface temperatures and upper level wind patterns are very ideal for tropical formation.

In addition, there is still an opening for a tropical system to make a trek into Florida, the Southeastern United States, and points northward along the East Coast. A significant dip in the jet stream is beginning to take shape over the eastern half of the United States. Significant temperature changes are in store this week with highs expected to drop into the 50s by this weekend. This change is going to bring along a great deal of rain. Between an inch and a half to three inches of rain is expected in Central Jersey on Monday and Tuesday. The trough is going to split the ridge over the Southern United States in half, and provide an opportunity for a depression or storm to impact at least Florida and the Southeastern United States.

We’ll have to see if this comes about. While it would be a good idea to pay close attention to developments in the Western Caribbean, keep in mind that this disturbance may be too far south, and end up like Matthew by becoming a big rainmaker for Central America.