Good morning. Sorry that I didn’t update the site last night. After traveling down to the Jersey Shore, and posting my last blog entries of the day, I was quite tired. Anyway, I’m back, and still monitoring things in the tropics. Fred not only strengthened to a hurricane, but also is now closing in on major hurricane status. We’re still dealing with our coastal low off the Mid-Atlantic as it heads slowly northward.
With the easterly fetch from the combination of the low and high pressure to the north, there is a bit more moisture and clouds crossing the Garden State this morning than yesterday. A Coastal Flood Advisory is already in effect today down in extreme Southern portions of the Jersey Shore including Atlantic and Cape May counties. In addition to that, the National Weather Service has issued another watch for further north.
As of 4:00 AM this morning, the NWS office in Mount Holly issued a Coastal Flood Watch for four counties in New Jersey including: Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean, and Burlington. With the easterly flow becoming more pronounced by tonight, above normal tide levels will result. Combining with heavy rain, the water piling up along the shoreline could cause tidal flooding on Thursday morning into early Thursday afternoon.
For example, at high tide over in Sandy Hook, forecast tide level is expected to be approximately 7.5 feet above normal. Further south in Seaside Heights, forecast tides are expected to be about 7.0 feet above normal at high tide. Stay tuned to your NOAA weather radio as well as log on to the NWS web site for further statements and possible warnings. Hurricaneville will continue to monitor the progress of this coastal storm, and perhaps make another trip to the Jersey Shore on Thursday.