Still Watching Tropical Wave In Central Atlantic

Good afternoon. In addition to Danny, the web site continues to follow the progress of a tropical wave in the Central Atlantic. As of 8:00 AM this morning, the wave was located some 850 miles to the West-Southwest of the Southernmost portion of the Cape Verde Islands. Moving to the West at 15 miles per hour, the wave has not become better organized over the past 24 hours.

As a matter of fact, there is been little change in structure. However, upper level winds remain favorable for development, and there is a 30 to 50 percent chance of this wave becoming a tropical depression or storm in 48 hours. Looking at the latest water vapor imagery, you can not only see that the convection is still holding together quite well, but also there is a ridge of high pressure keeping it to the south for the time being.

The models are generally going in a West-Northwest to Northwest direction, but may of them have the storm moving north of the islands with time. We’ll have to see if this trend continues. Meanwhile, another wave is in the Eastern Atlantic just off the West Coast of Africa. We are now approaching the statistical peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. So, now is the time to watch the Eastern Atlantic for the Cape Verde storms, which are your more classical hurricanes. Hurricaneville will continue to monitor the progress of these waves, and provide updates when they warrant.