Tracking the Tropics–September 8, 2016

Posted in Tracking the Tropics at 8:52 am by gmachos

Couple Disturbances Being Monitored

The tropics are still looking to pick up again in the wake of Hermine in the Atlantic. There are a couple disturbances that bear watching over the next few days. One we have been watching is in the Eastern Atlantic, and has a good deal of promise while another just emerged within the past 24 hours. There is also what’s left of Invest 92L, which has had a tough time getting its act together as expected as it moves through the Caribbean. Let’s take a closer look around:

Gulf of Mexico

The Gulf remains the most tranquil region in the entire Atlantic Basin this morning. There are some small areas of clouds dotting the central portion of the region, but nothing organized. No development expected for the next 24 to 48 hours.


The Caribbean has several pockets of shower and thunderstorm activity, particularly in the western portion of the region. There is a cluster of showers and storms to the north of Panama, another one just east of Honduras, and a third that is just south of the Isle of Youth. No signs of organization or development. No development is expected for at least the next 48 hours.

Atlantic Ocean

There are a couple trouble spots in this portion of the basin this morning. The first one is a few hundred miles of the Lesser Antilles, and it does have quite a bit of shower and thunderstorm activity. It does have a broad area of low pressure associated with it, but development is expected to be slow. The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 10 percent chance of developing over the next 48 hours, and a 20 percent chance over the next five days.

Meanwhile, we still have our tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic now located about 500 miles to the Southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Low pressure associated with the wave has developed, but the possibility of development continues to be slow. Presently, the NHC is giving the disturbance a 10 percent chance of development over the next 48 hours, and a 60 percent chance over the next five days.


We still have a conga line of showers and storms heading across the Sahel region of the continent toward the Atlantic. One just departed into the Atlantic off of Senegal. Meanwhile, there are showers and storms pushing westward through Southern Mali and Burkina Faso.

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