Disturbance Struggling to Develop As Forecast
Despite most of the focus in the Tropical Atlantic being on Hermine, there is still another disturbance in the basin that is being watched. Invest 92L, which formed over the weekend, remains disorganized, and will likely not develop for most of this week according to the National Hurricane Center.
Although the disturbance has tropical storm force winds associated with it, the shower and thunderstorm activity associated with it is still disorganized. The tropical wave continues to battle dry air and upper level winds. Nevertheless, Invest 92L, which is currently located in the Eastern Caribbean, is still expected to produce heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of the Lesser Antilles on Monday.
Then, the disturbance is expected to move toward Puerto Rico and Hispaniola on Tuesday. Upper level dynamics could become a bit more favorable towards development later in the week as the wave approaches the Yucatan Peninsula. Currently, the odds of tropical formation within the next 48 hours are nil while development is only 20 percent possible over the next five days.