08.21.16

Thunderstorms Possible This Afternoon and Evening in New Jersey

Posted in GWC News, GWC Severe Weather Report at 11:00 am by gmachos

Some Storms Could Be Severe As Front Approaches From West

Over the last couple weeks here in New Jersey, there has been a tremendous amount of humidity. Last weekend, dew points were in the upper 70s to low 80s. For example, the dew point on Saturday at GWC was 82, and it was 81 last Sunday. Although storms earlier this week quelled some of the humidity, the dew points have remained quite high.

After some pleasant weather on Wednesday, the dew points went back up into the low to mid 70s from Thursday to Sunday morning. Fortunately, temperatures weren’t as warm as they were during the recent heatwave so conditions have been a bit more comfortable. A refreshing change is on the way though, but it will come as the result of some afternoon and evening thunderstorms on Sunday.

A cold front has been pushing eastward through the country. On Saturday, the frontal system was responsible for producing severe weather in Michigan and Ohio as well as other locations in the Midwest. There were 11 different severe weather reports from the weather on Saturday in Michigan and Ohio, which is the most since July 7th according to The Weather Channel.

Now, the front is pushing into the Northeast. Showers and storms are already firing up in Western Pennsylvania and New York, and that weather will be inching closer and closer to the Garden State, New York City, and Philadelphia as the day progresses on Sunday. Storms are forecast to affect GWC and Central Jersey sometime during the late afternoon and early evening.

The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has put sections of Eastern Pennsylvania and Western New Jersey under a marginal risk for severe storms. The National Weather Service Office in Mount Holly, New Jersey issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for the entire Garden State on Sunday. Conditions possible with these storms include strong wind gusts, hail, heavy rainfall, and dangerous cloud to ground lightning.

So far this month, GWC has received far less rain than it did in July. As of this morning, there has only been 1.30 inches of rain here in South Plainfield. Last month, there was over six inches of rain. June saw several inches of rainfall. There have been a number of severe weather incidents at GWC within the past month. Most notable were the incidents on July 18th and July 25th. Both events were spurred on by tremendous heat and humidity.

There were some strong storms overnight on Tuesday into Wednesday at GWC. Heavy thunder with vivid lightning accompanied these storms, which also had some gusty winds that brought down large tree limbs not only in the neighborhood outside GWC, but also in nearby Piscataway. Yesterday, the heat and humidity produced storms that dumped torrential rain in Long Island during the early afternoon. Behind the front will be some welcome changes though.

After some lingering showers on Monday morning, the temperature and dew point levels will drop. The Mercury will have a tough time getting into the 80s over the next two or three days early next week, and lows will dip into the 50s. Dew points will be much more comfortable. So, there will be some short term pain with the storms this afternoon, but that will yield a much deserved reward to start the final two weeks of August.

08.19.16

Heat and Humidity Dominant Theme in Summer of 2016

Posted in GWC News, GWC Severe Weather Report at 5:54 pm by gmachos

Twenty-One Days of 90 Degree Plus Temperatures at GWC

In the wake of Hurricane Sandy in October 2012, there was an emergence of an El Niño pattern and for the past several years, temperatures had been more comfortable. The summers of 2011 and 2012 saw peak temperatures over 100 degrees, but then in 2013, 2014, and 2015, the peaks were only in the mid 90s.

While the heat has not been as intense as the summers of 2011 and 2012, there has certainly been a lot of it at GWC. The peak temperature of the year at GWC was reached recently during the latest heat wave to grip the Garden State and Mid-Atlantic States.

On Saturday, August 13th, the high temperature at GWC in South Plainfield was 96 degrees, the highest to date in 2016 for this location. On top of that, the humidity reached its highest level of 2016 with a peak dew point of 82. Combining the heat and humidity, the heat index reached a remarkable 125 degrees.

The intense tropical heat and humidity last weekend were the highlights of the latest heatwave at GWC and the rest of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. This latest torrid stretch of weather lasted for six days. It was the fourth heatwave of the summer at GWC. The longest stretch of 90 degree plus heat was eight days cumulating with powerful storms on July 25th.

There have been 21 days of 90 degree plus weather at GWC in South Plainfield since the week before Memorial Day Weekend. The summer season got off to an auspicious start with a four day heat wave that greeted the unofficial start to summer. With the intense heat and humidity, something has had to give at times, and that means severe weather.

Like those summers of 2011 and 2012, there was plenty of strong to severe storms throughout New Jersey and the Mid-Atlantic this summer. Most notably for GWC was on July 18th and July 25th. Most recently, there were some strong storms during the overnight hours earlier this week. Storms on Wednesday morning brought down large tree limbs in Piscataway and South Plainfield.

While July was a very wet month with over six inches of rain at GWC in South Plainfield, August has been relatively dry. Much of the rain has come within the past week with 0.53 inches of rain coming from strong storms early on Wednesday morning. So far this August, there has only been 1.24 inches of rain at GWC in South Plainfield. For the year, there has been a total of 22.54 inches.

06.06.16

GWC Weather Journal–June 5, 2016–Severe Weather Threat in NJ

Posted in GWC News, GWC Severe Weather Report at 10:57 pm by gmachos

Here is a timeline of weather conditions at Greg’s Weather Center in South Plainfield, New Jersey during the day on Sunday as a severe weather event unfolded across the Mid-Alantic.

7:21 AM–Woke up to see that the skies were quite dark.

8:30 AM–Stepped outside, and skies were overcast, but no rain yet.

10:00 AM–Saw the latest update from the Garden State Weather page that indicated moderate CAPE, some shear, but not much in the way of rising air or vertical development yet due to the cloud cover. Severe weather still possible.

11:00 AM–Checked out the Storm Prediction Center web site, which indicated that there is still an enhanced risk of severe weather for much of New Jersey late this afternoon and evening. SPC did point out that the ingredients for severe weather aren’t quite there yet due to cloud cover, but there could still be a significant rain and wind event.

12:00 PM–Rain came through earlier and I posted an article in the blog on both the severe weather threat for New Jersey on Sunday, and the newly formed Tropical Depression Three in the Gulf of Mexico. Rainfall came down fairly intensely in a short period of time. GWC WX Station rain gauge received 0.12 inches of rain.

1:35 PM–Just came back inside after going outside for a walk. Skies remained overcast, but no rain occurred during the walk. Air was very moist, thick, and humid. If there is some sun later this afternoon, things could get interesting.

2:04 PM–Just checked the local weather radar. Showers and storms currently in Central Pennsylvania with a narrow line of strong to severe storms leading the way near State College. The Weather Channel app indicates a large area of severe weather possible from New York to Georgia. Strong storms also possible from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast. TWC also indicates thunderstorm possible by 3:30 PM.

4:30 PM–Went outside to do a time lapse video, and noticed that the skies were becoming a bit more threatening. I also learned from the TWC app that a Severe Thunderstorm Watch was in effect for Eastern Pennsylvania and all of New Jersey until 10:00 PM. Made sure that all my electronic devices had enough power available. I also got my weather radio ready.

6:00 PM–Several severe thunderstorm warnings came through for Western New Jersey. Also took a look outside at the latest conditions and shot some video. Clouds definitely moving at a pretty good clip overhead, and continue to become more impressive despite the lack of sunshine today.

7:00 PM–Severe Thunderstorm Warning in effect for Middlesex County. Set up the GoPro Cam on the roof of the house to take some video footage of the storm coming through. A few moments later, at about 7:10 PM, the storm began to come through with heavy rains and really strong gusts of wind. You couldn’t see anything outside because the window was awash with water from the rain and wind.

8:06 PM–Checked data on the GWC WX Station. The storm that came through brought about 0.41 inches of rain with it and at a rainfall rate of 1.63 inches per hour. Winds were about 35 miles per hour. Checked the debris outside the house and there were no trees branches or wires down as well as no structural damage. Only debris from fallen leaves. High temperature today was only 75 degrees, but the dew point peaked at 73. Total rainfall so far for the day has been 0.53 inches for a total of 0.56 inches so far this month, and 13.61 inches so far for this year.

9:20 PM–Just came in from taking a walk around a portion of the town. Didn’t see any serious damage only a few decently sized tree branches by Sacred Heart School, and some more flimsy tree branches down in my neighborhood. Lot of leaves down. My guess that the winds in my neighborhood and surrounding areas on the north side of town had only 40 mile per hour winds.

06.05.16

Lots of Wild Weather To Talk About for Sunday

Posted in Storm Track, Storm Preparation, GWC News, Storm Warning, Storm Safety, GWC Severe Weather Report, Tracking the Tropics, Model Forecasts at 12:37 pm by gmachos

Much of Garden State Under Enhanced Risk for Severe Storms; TD #3 Forms in Southern Gulf

On Saturday, I had posted several articles on things going on in and around the country weather wise including a potential severe weather event for the Mid-Atlantic United States and a developing tropical disturbance in the Northwestern Caribbean. Well, since my posts on those two entities, things have changed quite a bit with more of New Jersey falling under an enhanced risk of severe weather on Sunday and a new depression forming in the Southern Gulf of Mexico.

First, let’s take a look at the current situation with the severe weather potential in the Mid-Atlantic. We could be looking at the possibility of a very significant if not historic weather situation in places like Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. Now while I say that there is this potential for a significant severe weather episode for these locations, I must add that this is not set in stone, or at least yet. Over the last 24 hours, the Storm Prediction Center in Oklahoma has place a larger area under an enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms including some big east coast cities such as Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington D.C.

The latest outlook provided by the SPC this morning indicates that there will be several clusters of storms developing anywhere from Georgia to New York with the highest chance for severe weather in the Mid-Atlantic States. Currently, much of the eastern third of the country is under either a marginal or enhanced risk of severe weather. With dew points peaking in the upper 60s to low 70s during the day across the Mid-Atlantic, and an approaching cold front that has a nice shortwave brining additional energy behind it, there is a chance for severe thunderstorms to develop. However, the most recent model data from this morning is indicating that the threat might not be as significant.

The 12z, or 8:00 AM run of the HRRR indicated that while the CAPE levels, or measure of potential energy critical for storms was moderate and there could be a decent amount of shear available for rotation, there is not enough rising motion in the atmosphere since the lapse rates aren’t running as high. Part of the reason for this is the fact that there has been significant cloud cover on Sunday morning across much of the Mid-Atlantic. The translation of all of this is that not all the ingredients are there for really severe weather to develop. However, while there may not be all the classic ingredients for supercell thunderstorm and tornado development, there still could be enough upper level energy for significant straight line winds to come through along with heavy rains.

Things could change though. Another model run is expected around 18z or 2:00 PM this afternoon, and by that time, things could clear out enough following the warm front passage for the sun to come out and heat things up. If the sun is able to do that, its energy could provide the spark that could alter the atmosphere enough to bring about a more significant severe weather event. The bottom line is that it is very important to pay attention to the weather and sky conditions if you are out today. Also, make sure that you are keeping track of the weather through resources on your mobile phone, Internet, television and weather radio. Speaking of your weather radio, you also may want to make sure that you have plenty of backup power available for all your devices in the home.

Remember, this could be, and I emphasize could be a very dangerous weather situation developing. The ingredients for it may not be there right now, but that could rapidly change if certain things occur. The fact that the Storm Prediction Center has placed places such as New Jersey under an enhanced risk is very significant since it is very rare, and it should be taken seriously. Another important weather system that we are watching is the newly formed Tropical Depression Three in the Gulf of Mexico, which emerged late this morning after being a disturbance in the Caribbean for the past several days. Tropical Storm Warnings are already up for portions of Florida with the development of this depression.

The 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season is already off to a busy start with three tropical cyclones now after this depression formed. Currently, Tropical Depression Three is located 120 miles to the Northwest of Cozumel, Mexico in the Yucatan Peninsula, or about 550 miles to the Southwest of Tampa, Florida. Maximum sustained winds are at 35 miles per hour with gusts close to tropical storm force. The minimum central pressure is down to 1005 millibars or 29.68 inches of Hg. TD Three is presently moving slowly to the north at 8 miles per hour, and that motion is expected to shift more to the northeast with an increase in forward momentum.

The latest track forecast is calling for the depression to be in the area of the Big Bend region of Florida sometime on Monday afternoon thanks to a push from a storm system currently over Texas. A Tropical Storm Warning is currently in effect for that region of the Sunshine State from Indian Pass to Englewood. There will be several impacts to worry about for residents that could be impacted by this system: Rain, Surge, Wind, and Tornadoes. Rainfall is the biggest threat with affected areas expected to receive anywhere from 3 to 5 inches with isolated locations getting up to 8 inches. Storm surge could range from anywhere between one to three feet above normal. Tropical storm force winds of over 40 miles per hour are anticipated in the areas closest to landfall on Monday afternoon, and with any landfalling system, you have the possibility of tornadoes.

The intensity forecast is calling for the depression to become Tropical Storm Colin within the next 12 to 24 hours. Peak intensity in terms of wind strength is expected within 72 hours as a moderate strength tropical storm with 60 mile per hour winds before coming a post tropical system. All residents of Florida’s Big Bend region as well as inland areas in the Central and Northeastern part of the state along with Southern Georgia need to closely monitor the progress of this developing system.

06.04.16

Rough Weather Possible for Sunday Around Jersey

Posted in Uncategorized, GWC News, GWC Severe Weather Report at 11:13 am by gmachos

Enhanced Risk of Severe Weather for Southern Jersey; Marginal Risk for Rest of Garden State

After a wet month of May with 3.40 inches of rain for places like GWC in South Plainfield, there has been a bit of a lull at the start of June for much of the Garden State. We are already into the fourth day of the new month, and so far, only 0.03 inches of rain has been received by the GWC rain gauge here in Northern Middlesex County. However, all of that is expected to change when a storm system comes through on Sunday afternoon and evening.

As of this morning, the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma, portions of the Garden State will be under an enhanced risk for severe weather while others will be under a marginal risk. Usually, portions of New Jersey never get placed under an enhanced risk. It is usually a pretty big deal when the Garden State gets put under a slight risk. So the fact that the SPC is calling for an Enhanced Risk of severe storms for parts of Southern Jersey is a really big deal.

According to the Day Two Outlook from the SPC, the area under the enhanced risk of severe weather include: Eastern Virginia, Northeast North Carolina, Maryland, Delaware, Southeastern Pennsylvania, and Southern New Jersey. Meanwhile, areas from Georgia into the Mid-Atlantic including the rest of Pennsylvania and New Jersey are under a slight risk. Conditions that could occur in all of these areas include: Damaging straight line winds, a few tornadoes, and severe hail. There also could be a great deal of rainfall.

The cause of all of this is a negatively titled shortwave that is currently moving through the Ohio Valley and helping to cause trouble in the Appalachians and Ohio River Region, which is presently under an enhanced risk by the SPC for Saturday. The shortwave will push east and help intensify a low pressure system coming out of Eastern Canada and provide a temperature and moisture contrast with the relatively warm and humid air in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic to make things just enough unstable for severe weather in parts of Virginia, North Carolina, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey. Areas further north will get more isolated severe weather.

Looking at a recent forecast discussion and analysis from Garden State Weather, rainfall amounts could range from anywhere from a half inch or so in Atlantic City to close to over an inch and a half in Western Jersey near the Delaware River Valley. The rainfall could be a huge help though since despite the good amount of rain in May, there are many parts of the state that are still well below normal for this time of year. Middlesex County as a whole is averaging about 17.0 inches of rain so far this year, which is about an inch and a half below what it should be.

Other counties are much further below normal such as Monmouth, Somerset, Hunterdon, Warren, Morris, and Sussex, which all range from 2.5 to 4 inches below normal. Many of these places of key reservoirs such as Round Valley and Spruce Run in Hunterdon County or Manasquan Reservoir in Monmouth County. More urban counties such as Passaic, Bergen, Essex, Union and Hudson are also running several inches below normal for this time of year. All of this is in spite of the massive blizzard that took place toward the end of January.

So, try to enjoy the weekend, which could be rough at times, but on Sunday, keep an eye to the sky and watch for changing weather conditions, and stay tuned to local media and your NWS web site and social media pages for further developments with this potentially dangerous situation.

06.19.15

Remnants of Bill to Bring Heavy Rains to Jersey

Posted in Storm Track, Storm Preparation, GWC News, Storm Warning, GWC Severe Weather Report, Tracking the Tropics, Model Forecasts at 3:13 pm by gmachos

Tropical Storm’s Remains to Ride the Ring of Fire Weather Pattern into Garden State

Earlier this week, Tropical Storm Bill, the second named storm of the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season, came ashore in Matagorda Island, Texas. Strengthening a bit just before landfall, the storm peaked with 60 mile per hour winds. However, the real story has been the rain. Heavy rains from the tropical system walloped much of the eastern half of Texas including major cities such as Houston and Dallas. Rains also spread into portions of Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Missouri.

It has been several days since Bill made landfall in the Lone Star State, but its overall circulation has been holding together quite well. Looking on satellite and radar maps, you can see that what’s left of Bill is still clearly defined. These remnants are pushing east now. Much of them are in Missouri right now, but over the next several days, they will be headed on a trajectory that will take them into New Jersey by Saturday night and Sunday. Bill’s remnants are expected to combine with a warm front to produce rainfall amounts anywhere from 1 to 2 inches from Philadelphia to New York City according to WPIX 11 and FIOS1 Meteorologist Joe Cioffi.

During the course of the week, a Ring of Fire weather pattern has developed over the eastern half of the United States. High pressure, centered over the Southeastern U.S. has produced sweltering temperatures in places such as Jacksonville, Florida, where the temperature was 92 degrees with a heat index of 103 late Thursday morning. On Wednesday, it was even hotter with a high of 104 and a heat index of 118. Bill’s remaining convection as well as other showers and storms downstream, are riding around the periphery of that strong dome of high pressure.

Since Sunday night, the weather here in Central New Jersey has been unsettled. Clouds have dominated much of the week including on Thursday, where temperatures struggled to get into the upper 60s. These readings were after the mercury barely eclipsed the 80 degree mark on Wednesday at GWC in South Plainfield. On Friday though, the sun and a bit of heat has returned. The temperature climbed up to 84 degrees with the dew point peaking at 73 for a top heat index of 89. Skies have been sunny, but there have been quite a few cumulus clouds developing.

Taking a look at the model forecasts, both the GFS and ECMWF models have shifted a bit more to the south putting the heaviest rain right over Central and Southern Jersey. The NAM is still showing more of a northerly track with the heaviest rains occurring over Northwestern New Jersey as well as well Southeastern New York just to the north of New York City. The brunt of the weather is expected to be around breakfast time on Sunday morning with the remnant low situated right over Central Jersey. By the middle of Sunday afternoon, much of the convection, if not all of it, will have left the Garden State and pushed into Connecticut and Long Island.

Depending on the track of Bill’s remnants, there is a possibility that we could see some severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has put New Jersey as well as much of the Tri-State area under a marginal risk for severe weather. Currently, there is a Flash Flood Watch in effect for much of the Garden State from Saturday night at 8:00 PM to Sunday evening at 8:00 PM. The National Weather Service Office in Mount Holly, New Jersey is calling for anywhere from 2 to 3 inches with some places receiving as much as 4 inches of rainfall from Bill’s remnant low. After a mostly dry April and May, rainfall has picked up again at GWC in South Plainfield. Since May 31st, there has been 4.37 inches of rain at GWC.

09.11.14

GWC Storm Footage–September 8, 2014–Coastal Low Puts On A Show

Posted in GWC News, Storm Footage, YouTube Videos, GWC Severe Weather Report at 12:56 am by gmachos

Here is video footage of the show put on along the Jersey Shore and portions of Northeastern Middlesex and Monmouth counties by a coastal low in the Mid-Atlantic on the second Monday and Tuesday of September 2014.

During the course of the day on Monday, weather conditions became more cloudy, windy, and cooler here in the northern portions of Middlesex County as well as the rest of the Garden State. The dark grey clouds hovering closer to the ground along with some peeks of blue sky and sun made for a dramatic look to the skies over the Raritan Center section of Edison, New Jersey during the mid to late afternoon. Nevertheless, the rain is stayed to the south of our area. The bulk of the precipitation is spinning from North Carolina to Delaware.

Conditions were a lot rougher along the Jersey Shore at Waterfront Park in South Amboy. Winds had to be at least 30 to 40 mph. The combination of the gusty winds and easterly fetch along with the above normal tides thanks to the presence of the full moon, and the seas were rougher with whitecaps and more frequent waves.

Due to the cloud cover and gusty winds, temperatures and dew points have been down. The high temperature at Greg’s Weather Center in South Plainfield, New Jersey only reached 75 after a high of 78 on Sunday. At the time of this report, the thermometer at GWC read 71 degrees. The dew point has been ranging from the mid 50s to mid 60s with the higher dew points in the range occurring in the morning. Winds did increase with sustained winds around 5 mph, and gusts up to 10 mph. They were also much stronger at the coast.

GWC Storm Footage–September 6, 2014–Thunderstorms Roll Through Northern Middlesex County

Posted in GWC News, Storm Footage, YouTube Videos, GWC Video Report, GWC Severe Weather Report at 12:32 am by gmachos

Here is video footage of thunderstorms moving through Northern Middlesex County on the first Saturday of September 2014. On this day, the temperature rose to 92 degrees, the hottest since July 2nd. Dew point at GWC climbed to 78 to produce a heat index of 106. Then, several waves of thunderstorms came through ahead of a cold front producing gusty winds, dangerous lightning, and heavy rain.

09.08.14

Coastal Low Providing Dramatic Skies Over Jersey

Posted in GWC News, GWC Severe Weather Report at 6:02 pm by gmachos

Storm System in Mid-Atlantic still far enough south to keep rain away from Garden State; Severe Weather Possible on Thursday

During the course of the day on Monday, weather conditions became more cloudy, windy, and cooler here in the northern portions of Middlesex County as well as the rest of the Garden State. The the dark grey clouds hovering closer to the ground along with some peeks of blue sky and sun made for a dramatic look to the skies over the Raritan Center section of Edison, New Jersey during the mid to late afternoon. Nevertheless, the rain is staying to the south of our area. The bulk of the precipitation is spinning from North Carolina to Delaware.

Due to the cloud cover and gusty winds, temperatures and dew points have been down. The high temperature at Greg’s Weather Center in South Plainfield, New Jersey only reached 75 after a high of 78 on Sunday. At the time of this report, the thermometer at GWC read 71 degrees.

The dew point has been ranging from the mid 50s to mid 60s with the higher dew points in the range occurring in the morning. Winds have been on the increase with sustained winds around 5 mph, and gusts up to 10 mph. The forecast from the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly had indicated showers for Monday into Tuesday, but now it appears that conditions will stay dry.

The next chance of rain is expected on Thursday when a cold front is expected to push through the Garden State. Prior to the front’s arrival, temperatures are expected to climb into the mid to upper 80s. After the front passes through though, temperatures are expected to drop significantly with highs only reaching the low 70s at best on Friday and Saturday.

The dramatic change had been indicated on the GWC and Hurricaneville Facebook page over the past week or so. With the dramatic shift expected, the chance of severe weather is increasing. Strong to severe storms are possible ahead of the front in Delaware, Southeastern New York, New Jersey, and Eastern Pennsylvania on Thursday.

09.07.14

Stormy End to Hot and Muggy Weather in New Jersey on Saturday

Posted in GWC News, GWC Severe Weather Report at 9:09 am by gmachos

Three Rounds of Storms Usher in Cooler and Drier Air

Prior to mid-Saturday afternoon, the month of September had been off to a blistering start by relative standards. After a month of August that had seen only two days of 90 degree temperatures including one on August 31st, the first week of September brought in as many 90 degree days. The average temperature and heat index for the week were warmer than the three previous months, and Saturday’s high was the second highest temperature at GWC in South Plainfield since June 1st. The high reached 92 degrees in South Plainfield. Combine that with a stifling dew point of 78, and you had a peak heat index of 106, the hottest and muggiest day in Northwest Middlesex County since July 2nd.

The heat and humidity on Saturday was then put to an abrupt end when the first of several rounds of thunderstorms rolled through the Garden State. The first wave hit around 4:00 PM. Followed by another one around 6:00 PM, and then a final one around 11:00 PM. The first round of storms was probably the most severe. Over in the Raritan Center section of Edison, New Jersey, the powerful storms brought a combination of loud thunder, vivid lightning, gusty winds, and heavy rains. The combination helped flicker the lights inside some of the office buildings there. However, they only brought a trickle of rain to South Plainfield. The thrust of the next round of storms hit Southern Middlesex County, Mercer County, and Monmouth County very hard prompting a Severe Thunderstorm Warning from the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly.

There would be a lull in the action for a few hours around Middlesex County. While skies remained somewhat cloudy with large cumulonimbus clouds to the west of the area, no rain or storms would start to come through until about 10:30 PM. These storms came with some fanfare originally in Eastern Pennsylvania, and then crossed the border into Western New Jersey during the 9:00 PM hour. The storms were accompanied by some hail, winds estimated at 60 miles per hour, vivid lightning and heavy rain. After coming through Sussex, Warren, Hunterdon, Morris, and Somerset counties, the band of storms began pushing through Northwestern Middlesex, and put on a fairly good lightning display. Winds became a bit gusty with some thunder before rain began falling.

The first round of storms in the late afternoon actually provided some benefit in Northern Middlesex County by stabilizing the atmosphere just enough to prevent more severe weather from occurring.  When it was all said and done though, the three rounds of storms only produced a total of 0.22 inches of rain at Greg’s Weather Center in South Plainfield. Rainfall has been a bit scarce over the past 30 to 45 days. The month of August 2014 was the driest at GWC in the past four years with only 1.87 inches of rain. Yesterday was the first significant rainfall of the month of September here in South Plainfield, and on average Septembers are usually dry in New Jersey. So far this year, there has been 30.60 inches of rain at GWC in South Plainfield, and 14.07 inches of that has fallen since June 1st. This summer has so far been the coolest in the past four years with an average temperature of 73 degrees and an average peak temperature of 92 degrees. The peak heat index was only 110, and that was in July.

The forecast for this week calls for temperatures to cool down into the low 80s on Sunday, and then into the mid to upper 70s on Monday and Tuesday with showers before temperatures moderate into the low 80s again by Thursday and Friday. Models are indicating though that a significant cool down is expected starting next weekend with below normal temperatures across much of the eastern half of the United States starting next weekend.

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