01.29.15

GWC Time Lapse–January 26-27, 2015–Blizzard of 2015

Posted in GWC News, YouTube Videos, GWC Web Cam, GWC Time Lapse at 10:25 am by gmachos

Here is a time lapse video of several stretches during the Blizzard of ‘15 that struck on the last Monday and Tuesday of January 2015. While the storm dumped up to 3 feet of snow in parts of New England, New Jersey got a break thanks to the storm’s center moving 100 miles to the east of its forecasted position, and only received less than a foot of snow.

GWC Storm Footage–January 27, 2015–Blizzard of ‘15 Winds Down

Posted in GWC News, Storm Footage, YouTube Videos, GWC Web Cam at 10:22 am by gmachos

Here is video footage of the Blizzard of 2015 winding down in Northwestern Middlesex County, New Jersey on the last Tuesday of January ‘15. The storm brought only about 6 inches to South Plainfield with higher amounts further to the east in Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Long Island received in upwards of 2 feet while portions of New England got close to 3 feet.

01.27.15

GWC Storm Footage–January 26, 2015–Blizzard of 2015

Posted in GWC News, Storm Footage, YouTube Videos, GWC Web Cam at 12:48 am by gmachos

Here is storm footage of the Blizzard of 2015 as it began to bring snow to the Northern Middlesex County towns of Edison and South Plainfield on the last Monday afternoon of January 2015. The storm brought some light to moderate snow during the afternoon as winds began to pick up.

01.26.15

GWC Car Cam–January 26, 2015–Driving in the Blizzard of ‘15

Posted in GWC News, Storm Footage, YouTube Videos, GWC Web Cam at 9:05 pm by gmachos

Here is car cam footage from the GWC GoPro cam of the drive home from work in the Blizzard of 2015 in Middlesex County, New Jersey. The weather began to pick up during the afternoon as a solid band of snow stayed put over a swath that stretch across some of the five boroughs of New York City into Central Jersey. Traffic slowed down considerably on portions of Interstate 287 North in Edison and South Plainfield as a result.

09.21.14

GWC Time Lapse–September 11, 2014–Variable Cloudiness

Posted in GWC News, YouTube Videos, GWC Web Cam, GWC Time Lapse at 2:23 pm by gmachos

Here is a time lapse video of weather conditions at Greg’s Weather Center in South Plainfield, NJ on September 11, 2014. On this 13th anniversary of the terrorist attacks on the Twin Towers and the Pentagon, sky conditions were changing often during the course of the day. The cloudy skies throughout portions of the day prevented temperatures from going up high enough to make the atmosphere unstable and breed strong thunderstorms.

09.11.14

GWC Storm Footage–September 8, 2014–Coastal Low Puts On A Show

Posted in GWC News, Storm Footage, YouTube Videos, GWC Severe Weather Report at 12:56 am by gmachos

Here is video footage of the show put on along the Jersey Shore and portions of Northeastern Middlesex and Monmouth counties by a coastal low in the Mid-Atlantic on the second Monday and Tuesday of September 2014.

During the course of the day on Monday, weather conditions became more cloudy, windy, and cooler here in the northern portions of Middlesex County as well as the rest of the Garden State. The dark grey clouds hovering closer to the ground along with some peeks of blue sky and sun made for a dramatic look to the skies over the Raritan Center section of Edison, New Jersey during the mid to late afternoon. Nevertheless, the rain is stayed to the south of our area. The bulk of the precipitation is spinning from North Carolina to Delaware.

Conditions were a lot rougher along the Jersey Shore at Waterfront Park in South Amboy. Winds had to be at least 30 to 40 mph. The combination of the gusty winds and easterly fetch along with the above normal tides thanks to the presence of the full moon, and the seas were rougher with whitecaps and more frequent waves.

Due to the cloud cover and gusty winds, temperatures and dew points have been down. The high temperature at Greg’s Weather Center in South Plainfield, New Jersey only reached 75 after a high of 78 on Sunday. At the time of this report, the thermometer at GWC read 71 degrees. The dew point has been ranging from the mid 50s to mid 60s with the higher dew points in the range occurring in the morning. Winds did increase with sustained winds around 5 mph, and gusts up to 10 mph. They were also much stronger at the coast.

GWC Slideshow–September 8-9, 2014–Coastal Low Puts On A Show

Posted in GWC News, YouTube Videos, GWC Slideshows at 12:49 am by gmachos

Here is a slideshow from photos taken of the show put on along the Jersey Shore and portions of Northeastern Middlesex and Monmouth counties by a coastal low in the Mid-Atlantic on the second Monday and Tuesday of September 2014.

During the course of the day on Monday, weather conditions became more cloudy, windy, and cooler here in the northern portions of Middlesex County as well as the rest of the Garden State. The dark grey clouds hovering closer to the ground along with some peeks of blue sky and sun made for a dramatic look to the skies over the Raritan Center section of Edison, New Jersey during the mid to late afternoon. Nevertheless, the rain is stayed to the south of our area. The bulk of the precipitation is spinning from North Carolina to Delaware.

Conditions were a lot rougher along the Jersey Shore at Waterfront Park in South Amboy. Winds had to be at least 30 to 40 mph. The combination of the gusty winds and easterly fetch along with the above normal tides thanks to the presence of the full moon, and the seas were rougher with whitecaps and more frequent waves.

Due to the cloud cover and gusty winds, temperatures and dew points have been down. The high temperature at Greg’s Weather Center in South Plainfield, New Jersey only reached 75 after a high of 78 on Sunday. At the time of this report, the thermometer at GWC read 71 degrees. The dew point has been ranging from the mid 50s to mid 60s with the higher dew points in the range occurring in the morning. Winds did increase with sustained winds around 5 mph, and gusts up to 10 mph. They were also much stronger at the coast.

GWC Storm Footage–September 6, 2014–Thunderstorms Roll Through Northern Middlesex County

Posted in GWC News, Storm Footage, YouTube Videos, GWC Video Report, GWC Severe Weather Report at 12:32 am by gmachos

Here is video footage of thunderstorms moving through Northern Middlesex County on the first Saturday of September 2014. On this day, the temperature rose to 92 degrees, the hottest since July 2nd. Dew point at GWC climbed to 78 to produce a heat index of 106. Then, several waves of thunderstorms came through ahead of a cold front producing gusty winds, dangerous lightning, and heavy rain.

GWC Time Lapse–September 6, 2014–Thunderstorms Roll Through Raritan Center

Posted in GWC News, YouTube Videos, GWC Time Lapse at 12:22 am by gmachos

Here time lapse video of the thunderstorms that moved through the Raritan Center section of Edison, New Jersey on the first Saturday of September 2014. On this day, the temperature rose to 92 degrees, the hottest since July 2nd. Dew point at GWC climbed to 78 to produce a heat index of 106. Then, several waves of thunderstorms came through ahead of a cold front producing gusty winds, dangerous lightning, and heavy rain.

09.10.14

Two Disturbances Being Watched in the Atlantic

Posted in Storm Preparation, GWC News, Storm Safety, Tracking the Tropics, Model Forecasts at 11:42 am by gmachos

New Disturbance near Bahamas Joins Invest 91L in Eastern Atlantic

Wednesday marks the statistical peak of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season.  Looking at historical data going back to 1851, the most named storms and hurricanes have formed on September 10th in the Atlantic.  However, to date, this hurricane season has been well below average.  There have only been 5 depressions, 4 named storms, 3 hurricanes, and no major hurricanes in the Atlantic.

Things might be changing though.  Despite a vast area of dry stable air and hostile upper level wind shear in the Atlantic, there are now two disturbances being watched by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida.  The first disturbance is in the vicinity of the Bahamas, and has a 10 percent chance of development over the next 48 hours, and a 20 percent chance of formation over the next 5 days.  The bigger threat, although much farther away in the Eastern Atlantic is Invest 91L, which has a 20 percent chance of development within the next 48 hours, and a 70 percent chance over the next 5 days.

Looking at analysis provided by Hurricane Consulting, the area of disturbed weather near the Bahamas is part of a surface trough that is interacting with a broad upper level low extending from the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico to the Bahamas.  To the north of this area is a surface low over North Carolina along with a frontal boundary that has been responsible for the cloudiness and shower activity in New Jersey the past couple days as well as stormy conditions in the Mid-Atlantic.  

The disturbance in the Bahamas doesn’t appear to be a threat to develop at this time.  The GFS fails to develop this disturbance, but other models have it becoming an area of low pressure off the Southwest Florida coast by this weekend.  If the projections of the other models hold, the disturbance will be in the Gulf of Mexico, which is an area of very warm water, a key factor in development.

There is another area of disturbed weather being watched in the Central Caribbean.  Viewing the satellite and radar composite of the area, there is a very nice flare up of convection associated with this broad mid to upper level trough, but conditions aren’t favorable for development.  Shifting over to the Eastern Atlantic, there is Invest 91L, which is now moving toward the Central Atlantic waters some 600 miles to the West-Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands.  

The disturbance is now an estimated 1006 millibar low, and it is a vast area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Conditions are expected to become more favorable for development as we move further into the Atlantic, but it is too early to tell whether it will come ashore in the United States. Presently, the GFS model indicates that Invest 91L is expected to move through the Southeastern Bahamas within the next 10 to 12 days, and approach Florida as a strong hurricane before turning out to the east and stalling in the Northern Bahamas.

GWC and Hurricaneville will continue to watch the situation with these two disturbances, and other features that the various forecast models bring up over the next two weeks.  While this September has been fairly quiet to date, it is far from over, and the United States is long overdue for a landfalling major hurricane.  The last time such a storm came ashore in the U.S. was nearly 10 years ago.  There has been a dearth of major hurricanes in the Atlantic overall.  Tomorrow will mark two years since a major hurricane was classified (Michael in 2012).  Keep in mind that even in low activity years, there is still the possibility of a classic storm.  Andrew in 1992, the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935, and the Long Island Express of 1938 are powerful examples.

Special thanks to Lew Fincher and Stan Blazyk of Hurricane Consulting for providing their analysis on the current disturbances in the Atlantic.

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